How to determine which state to buy in?

As a professional investor for most of my life, I have developed systems to derive my investment choices. 

For real estate, I prioritise positive cash flow and, to a lesser extent, capital appreciation, although both are correlated. 

Real estate investment is not to be confused with a second home, pied-de-terre, or vacation home. These are not income-generating assets and have very different reasons for owning. 

Since positive cash flow is my priority, I look at which states have high rental yields, potential rent growth, and what specific criteria drive this growth.

Supply and Demand => If more folks are renting in a community faster than the supply of available rentals can support, rental prices tend to increase over time. 

What drives Demand?

Typically, this is population growth. For example, if California is expensive to live in, you can move to Arizona. If New York is expensive, you can move to Florida, and so on.  

What attributes would attract people to move to another state?

  • Cost of living
  • State income tax rates
  • Education
  • Job prospects
  • Wage growth, and many more

In this article, I will examine the Cost of Living and Disposable Income criteria.

In later articles, I will share how I screen for these other criteria, so stay tuned!

What is the Cost of Living?

It is the amount you spend on essential expenses under a normal and reasonable lifestyle.

We also need to take into consideration Salary and Wages since a low Cost of Living state is often associated with lower salary prospects.

We will now look at the average amount you have “leftover” after spending on essentials = Disposable Income.   

Does a high disposable income state represent the best place to own an investment portfolio?

Not necessarily, since taxes, property prices, education, and other factors are not taken into consideration.

Without giving away the secret sauce, the top states to own for cash flow are around the middle of 2 lists.

Next week, I will look at: Average property prices, Population growth, GDP growth, and Rental yield to determine which state(s) is the best to own a U.S. real estate investment in.

StateCost of living (annual $)
Mississippi$32,336
Arkansas$32,979
Alabama$33,654
Oklahoma$33,966
New Mexico$34,501
Tennessee$34,742
South Carolina$34,826
West Virginia$34,861
Kansas$35,185
Missouri$35,338
Kentucky$35,508
Louisiana$35,576
North Dakota$35,707
Iowa$35,871
Ohio$35,932
Indiana$36,207
North Carolina$36,702
South Dakota$36,864
Michigan$37,111
Montana$37,328
Wisconsin$37,374
Nebraska$37,519
Wyoming$37,550
Texas$37,582
Idaho$37,658
Georgia$38,747
Arizona$39,856
Maine$39,899
Pennsylvania$40,066
Florida$40,512
Utah$40,586
Illinois$41,395
Minnesota$41,498
Nevada$41,630
Virginia$43,067
Vermont$43,927
Delaware$44,389
Rhode Island$44,481
New Hampshire$45,575
Colorado$45,931
Oregon$46,193
Connecticut$46,912
Washington$47,231
Maryland$48,235
Alaska$48,670
New Jersey$49,511
New York$49,623
California$53,171
Massachusetts$53,860
Hawaii$55,491
StateDisposable income
New York$25,247
Washington$25,119
Massachusetts$22,740
Illinois$22,535
Virginia$22,523
Connecticut$22,398
Minnesota$22,142
Colorado$21,939
Maryland$21,515
New Jersey$21,379
Michigan$20,889
Ohio$20,598
North Dakota$20,093
California$20,049
Rhode Island$20,049
New Mexico$19,899
Texas$19,718
North Carolina$19,518
Georgia$19,253
Missouri$19,182
Arizona$18,764
Wisconsin$18,746
Pennsylvania$18,404
Tennessee$18,078
Delaware$17,871
Kansas$17,665
Iowa$17,649
Nebraska$17,551
Alaska$17,460
Indiana$17,293
New Hampshire$16,975
Oklahoma$16,974
Alabama$16,966
Wyoming$16,890
Utah$16,774
Oregon$16,487
Maine$16,061
Kentucky$15,982
South Carolina$15,824
Arkansas$15,591
Florida$15,468
Louisiana$15,364
Vermont$15,263
Montana$14,872
West Virginia$14,309
Nevada$13,860
Idaho$13,692
South Dakota$13,026
Mississippi$12,844
Hawaii$5,929

With years of experience in finance, I’ve developed a keen eye for identifying lucrative investment opportunities. At Global Mortgage Group and America Mortgages, we understand the importance of strategic decision-making in real estate ventures. By carefully examining critical factors such as cost of living and disposable income, we guide U.S. expat and non-resident investors towards maximizing their returns while minimizing risks. As we explore various aspects of real estate investment, our commitment remains steadfast in empowering our clients with the knowledge and tools necessary for financial success. Get in touch with us today to navigate the ever-evolving landscape of U.S. real estate together.

www.americamortgages.com

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